Acer CEO: Tablet PC is a bubble

Tablet is the desktop computer of tomorrow

Tablet PC is not a bubble as claimed by the CEO of Acer. A kind of infographics to demonstrate.

M. Zhentang Wang, CEO of Acer said in September 2011 that the success of sales of tablets was a bubble. So they will collapse and users will return to dektops machines and notebooks.

But is it really so sure?

The firm also wants to focus on ultraportables. Lightweight laptops, it's a good thing, but many of the users buy a laptop for use at a fixed location, it is much simpler. However, ultraportable's screen is even smaller. 
Solution: Connect the laptop to a video monitor. But then, why has the laptop a screen?

Evolution of the size of desktop computers from 1981 to 2011

Evolution of the size of desktop computers from 1981 to 2011

Progress is in miniaturization. In 2011, desktop computers and monitors are equipped with obsolete for a long time and unnecessary VGA connectors. Manufacturers do not know how to evolve, so user turned to a new kind of device.

This may be partly the fault of  processor manufacturers, Intel and AMD, which were never interested in the manufacturing of compact and energy saving processors, until the market forces them to do so, with the success of ARM processors.
Apple has also had to create its own processors, such as the A5, to obtain the required power in a small footprint.

Smartphone vs desktop computer

According to the results achieved with this Linpack benchmark, in 2011 the speed of the Top 10 smartphones is over 200 megaFLOPS.

According to these benchmarks for desktop computers, this is equivalent to a computer with a 2 Ghz Pentium 4 in 2006.

A 2011 smartphone has the power of a desktop 2006

Modern smartphone that is held in the hand has the same power as a Gateway E 2500 from 2006 powered by a Pentium 4.

Update November 9, 2011: The Tegra 3 from NVidia is a five cores processor offering performances similar to that of PCs. It is claimed to reach 300 megaFLOPS. Actually it integrates a 12 cores GPU ables to run 3D games.

Tablet success is not a bubble. Today's users have become accustomed to miniaturization and touch screens. Here's what will happen to the desktop ...

The tablet computer, the machine of the future in the office

The tablet is both a laptop and a device to interact with the image on the monitor. This adds something to the desktop while replacing it too.

Apple has recently submitted several patents for new interfaces to tablets. While Apple Computer is trying to imagine the future computer, Acer and HP do not dare remove a VGA connector useless and obsolete for years.

In 1997, Michael Dell was asked what he would do if he ran Apple."I would liquidate the company and return their money to shareholders." He said. To that, Steve Jobs replied:

"The world doesn’t need another Dell or HP.  It doesn’t need another manufacturer of plain, beige, boring PCs.  If that’s all we’re going to do, then we should really pack up now."

Steve Jobs predicted tablets will replace desktop computers in this transcript. (Go to the chapter about tablets).
In 2011, Dell and others try to copy the Apple's tablet, with mixed success.

November 15, 2011

Intel unveils Thin Mini-ITX, a new format of compact motherboard, which uses SODIMM memory of laptops and a reduced PCIe port.
Updated November 2013: There are now computers of this type manufactured by Zotac, see my experience with the AD13.